John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R7

PP 14

POP PAUL

G '22 · DAREDEVIL × VERNA LEA

Trainer: GARCIA GENARO · Jockey: CARRASCO VICTOR R

Today's prediction

70.6

Speed fig

15.7%

In-the-money

Last 6 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.31
  • Speed Fig Consistency +0.23
  • Distance Change From Last +0.20
  • Num Career Starts +0.16
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.14

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -2.85
  • Today Field Size -0.76
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.57
  • Today Post Position -0.49
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.46

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-05-09 CD 6.5f Dirt 7 9.5 65 86 Step slw st;trailed 3p
2026-03-28 SA 6f Dirt 2 2.8 83 85 Inside;yielded;held2nd
2026-02-14 SA 5.5f Dirt 1 3.3 81 83 Up close2wd;clr midstr
2025-06-01 CD 1m Dirt 7 19.0 56 81 Ins pair turn; faded
2025-05-10 CD 6f Dirt 6 8.3 65 90 Step slow;5-7p;no bid
2025-01-05 SA 6f Turf 9 12.8 60 89 3-4w;came out past1/4