Derby 2026
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PP 11

PLOT

F '22 · BLAME × SCAPE

Trainer: DRURY THOMAS JR · Jockey: HERNANDEZ B J JR

Today's prediction

74.3

Speed fig

23.4%

In-the-money

Last 5 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 83.2 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Days Since Last Race +0.30
  • Speed Fig Trend +0.16
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 +0.10
  • BRIS Dist Pedigree +0.05
  • BRIS Mud Pedigree +0.05

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -6.53
  • Max Speed Fig Career -0.97
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.66
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.43
  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.35

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-02-12 TP 1.13m Dirt 4 15.3 71 80 Bmpd st;2w-ins;no thrt
2025-12-27 TP 6.5f Dirt 5 6.0 75 81 Bobbled/off slw;4p-ins
2025-09-04 KD 1.31m Turf 7 8.0 75 79 3p;ins uppr;lacked bid
2025-07-20 ELP 1m Dirt 3 11.3 74 80 Stumbled st;moved up
2025-06-18 CD 1.06m Turf 5 4.3 73 81 Tght btw st;2-3p;mvdup