John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R1

PP 2

PLAZA CUE

F '22 · SKY MESA × SAMBA BREEZE

Trainer: MCPEEK KENNETH G · Jockey: SAEZ LUIS

Today's prediction

79.5

Speed fig

70.8%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.75
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.60
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.35
  • Today Track Code +0.28
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.25

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.53
  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.38
  • Best Finish Pos Career -0.14
  • Num Career Starts -0.11
  • Trainer Meet Win Rate -0.07

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-25 CD 1.25m Dirt 3 4.8 81 84 Ins winner 2nd;yielded
2026-04-04 OP 1.06m Dirt 5 7.3 81 84 Stumbled; 2p; fade str
2026-01-09 TP 1.25m Dirt 2 8.5 78 80 Ins winner2nd;no match
2025-12-20 TP 1.06m Dirt 2 0.3 80 80 Hop st;alter;good kick
2025-11-16 CD 7.5f Dirt 2 0.8 83 83 Vied 2w;cleared;caught
2025-10-17 KEE 7f Dirt 2 0.5 78 90 Stalk 4-5p;bid;denied
2025-09-19 CD 1m Dirt 2 2.3 82 84 Ins;clear upr;game plc
2025-04-06 KEE 1.06m Dirt 5 14.3 78 84 Prs 2wbtw;chs ins;tire
2025-03-09 OP 1m Dirt 2 1.5 90 81 Closer; chased 2p
2025-01-26 OP 1.06m Dirt 2 3.8 82 81 Pressed;bid;no match