John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R4

PP 6

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F '23 · MO TOM × LETSSTAYPOSITIVE

Trainer: LOVELL MICHELLE · Jockey: SHEEHY DANNY

Today's prediction

66.9

Speed fig

3.5%

In-the-money

Last 2 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 +0.34
  • Class Par Trend +0.33
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 +0.32
  • Today Track Code +0.30
  • Weight Change From Last +0.30

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -5.39
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -1.02
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.99
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.66
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.59

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-21 FG 1.04m Dirt 4 14.5 65 83 Keen;gain 1/4;flattend
2026-02-06 TP 1m Dirt 6 8.0 68 77 4-3p;ask btw2nd;no bid