John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R8

PP 2

PINFIRE

G '20 · BOLT D'ORO × SUMMER READING

Trainer: TOMLINSON MICHAEL A · Jockey: CONCEPCION AXEL

Today's prediction

84.2

Speed fig

28.1%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +3.10
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +2.07
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.13
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.87
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.83

Pushing prediction down

  • Last Finish Pos -0.46
  • Num Career Starts -0.39
  • Starts Last 180d -0.30
  • Days Since Last Race -0.27
  • Today Field Size -0.21

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2025-11-15 CD 5.5f Turf 11 13.0 73 77 Bmpd brk;chased btwn
2025-10-15 KEE 7f Dirt 1 2.8 98 90 Pressed 2w;drove clear
2025-08-02 ELP 6f Dirt 1 0.1 98 96 2-3p;bid btw1/4;dueled
2025-06-26 CD 6f Dirt 5 3.8 89 96 Stumbled st; press btw
2025-05-29 CD 6.5f Dirt 1 6.5 96 95 Ins;drew off;riddn out
2025-05-11 CD 6f Dirt 4 2.0 92 90 Track ins;even;mss shw
2025-03-04 FG 6f Dirt 3 0.5 90 91 Duel 2w;btw;game;outkk
2025-01-30 FG 6f Dirt 2 2.0 91 91 Stalked 2-3p; 2nd best
2025-01-09 FG 6f Dirt 1 6.0 91 89 Dueled 2wd;drove clear
2024-11-22 CD 7f Dirt 1 2.8 87 85 Clear 2p;held swy;bled