John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R6

PP 5

PAYNT YA LATER

M '21 · PAYNTER × IMPECUNIOUS

Trainer: MOGER ED JR · Jockey: PAULY SUMMER

Today's prediction

87.6

Speed fig

33.0%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +7.52
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +2.26
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.37
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.72
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.49

Pushing prediction down

  • Distance Change From Last -0.76
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 -0.50
  • Starts Last 180d -0.24
  • Today Field Size -0.23
  • Today Track Code -0.20

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-22 KEE 5.5f Turf 4 3.8 85 Ins;shft 3p1/4;gave wy
2025-05-23 CD 5.5f Turf 3 3.8 96 89 Duel ins;outkk;mss plc
2025-05-01 CD 5f Turf 1 0.8 92 86 Vied ins;cleared;lastd
2025-04-13 KEE 6.5f Dirt 6 13.5 68 93 Chased 2p; wknd
2025-03-19 TP 6.5f Dirt 1 2.0 91 86 Ang 4wd; cleared
2024-08-11 EMD 1.06m Dirt 9 18.3 53 83 3-w; tired
2024-07-14 EMD 6.5f Dirt 3 2.0 77 84 3;4-w; steady effort
2024-06-15 EMD 6f Dirt 3 2.0 74 84 3-w; mild rally
2024-05-11 EMD 5.5f Dirt 1 1.0 85 80 Inside; edged clear
2024-02-25 GG 6f Dirt 1 3.0 83 79 Pace; kicked clear