John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R5

PP 2

PAY HEED

g '23 · CANDY RIDE × HONOR YOUR GIFT

Trainer: SCHULTZ LINDSAY · Jockey: CEDILLO ABEL

Today's prediction

59.5

Speed fig

11.2%

In-the-money

Last 1 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 +0.88
  • BRIS Turf Pedigree +0.59
  • Mean Late Pace Last 5 +0.36
  • Weight Change From Last +0.34
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 +0.30

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -12.86
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -1.78
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -1.06
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 -0.68
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.58

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-02-12 FG 1m Turf 7 14.3 57 78 Showed little