PP 16
PAVLOVIAN
C '23 · PAVEL × MANDY'S GRACE
Trainer: O'NEILL DOUG · Jockey: MALDONADO E
Today's prediction
92.7
Speed fig
13.4%
In-the-money
Last 10 races
Why this prediction?
Base prediction: 83.2 fig points
Pushing prediction up
- BRIS Prime Power +5.32
- Max Speed Fig Career +1.43
- Speed Fig Consistency +0.61
- Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.59
- Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.44
Pushing prediction down
- Prior Starts At Churchill -0.16
- BRIS Mud Pedigree -0.13
- BRIS Dirt Pedigree -0.09
- Mean Speed Fig Career -0.07
- Mean Pace 2f Last 5 -0.01
Past performances
| Date | Track | Dist | Sfx | Fin | Beat | Fig | Class | Comment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | FG | 1.19m | Dirt | 2 | 0.1 | 101 | 97 | Pace;met bid;gamely |
| 2026-02-15 | SUN | 1.06m | Dirt | 1 | 0.1 | 95 | 94 | Pressed;wore down foe |
| 2026-01-17 | SA | 1.06m | Dirt | 3 | 3.3 | 84 | 91 | Brk in/bpd;3-2w;5-4w |
| 2025-12-14 | LRC | 1m | Dirt | 4 | 7.0 | 85 | 83 | Hop/bp;4w-ins;rail bid |
| 2025-10-31 | DMR | 7f | Dirt | — | — | — | 86 | Hop;stmbld;lost rider |
| 2025-10-04 | SA | 6.5f | Dirt | 2 | 1.8 | 83 | 80 | Btwn;2w-ins;gained2nd |
| 2025-09-05 | DMR | 5.5f | Dirt | 7 | 9.5 | 69 | 88 | 5-4wide; no menace |
| 2025-08-09 | DMR | 6f | Dirt | 2 | 8.8 | 79 | 96 | 3deep;floatd5w;gain2nd |
| 2025-06-15 | SA | 5f | Dirt | 1 | 0.5 | 82 | 81 | 2w;angld5w;closed well |
| 2025-05-25 | SA | 4.5f | Dirt | 2 | 1.5 | 71 | 87 | Rail;shifted late turn |