John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R4

PP 1

PAMPERED PRINCE

C '23 · HARD SPUN × MA MO

Trainer: HABEEB DONALD J · Jockey: SAEZ LUIS

Today's prediction

78.9

Speed fig

42.0%

In-the-money

Last 2 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.70
  • Last Speed Fig +0.53
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.52
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.47
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.43

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -2.10
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.36
  • Class Par Trend -0.35
  • Weight Change From Last -0.08
  • Today Weight -0.06

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-05-07 CD 1m Dirt 1 5.0 84 81 Ins;shk clear upr;drvg
2026-03-16 FG 6f Dirt 5 11.0 73 84 Off slow; saved ground