John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R6

PP 5

PAIGE TURNER

F '23 · ARMY MULE × SOPHIA MIA

Trainer: DEVAUX CHERIE · Jockey: ORTIZ JOSE L

Today's prediction

87.2

Speed fig

64.4%

In-the-money

Last 3 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +5.77
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +1.49
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.98
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.82
  • Today Track Code +0.61

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Field Size -1.23
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.28
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.27
  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.14
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 -0.14

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2025-11-29 CD 6.5f Dirt 2 3.5 91 90 Bmpd btw;2-3p;2nd best
2025-10-31 CD 7f Dirt 1 5.3 90 81 Stalk 3w;bid upr;clear
2025-08-31 SAR 6f Dirt 2 1.8 81 85 Chased 3-2w; mild kick