John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R4

PP 6

PACIFIC

C '22 · OMAHA BEACH × WORSHIPPER

Trainer: ASMUSSEN STEVEN M · Jockey: ASMUSSEN KEITH J

Today's prediction

78.9

Speed fig

44.9%

In-the-money

Last 8 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.75
  • Today Track Code +0.54
  • Last Speed Fig +0.32
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.28
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 +0.23

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -0.37
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.29
  • Tj Combo Starts 365d Log -0.15
  • Field Early Speed Count -0.10
  • Weight Change From Last -0.09

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-07 OP 1.06m Dirt 2 0.3 85 88 2-3p;bid5/16;edged out
2026-02-16 OP 1m Dirt 5 14.0 73 88 Tracked rail; weakened
2025-10-10 RP 1.06m Dirt 1 0.1 89 73 2w; came again late
2025-09-26 RP 1m Turf 2 0.8 73 82 Settled; 3w; gaining
2025-08-31 KD 1.50m Turf 9 9.5 73 85 Bobl bmp;cued btw2p1/2
2025-08-11 ELP 1.06m Turf 5 9.0 79 81 Ins;3wd btw1/16;no bid
2025-07-21 ELP 1.13m Dirt 9 23.0 58 86 4p 1st; done early
2025-06-21 CD 1m Dirt 6 9.0 76 90 In range3-4p;weakened