John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R6

PP 11

OUR TWO GIRLS

F '23 · CARAVAGGIO × CANDY APPLE RED

Trainer: MCPEEK KENNETH G · Jockey: SAEZ LUIS

Today's prediction

77.4

Speed fig

32.3%

In-the-money

Last 6 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +3.36
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.50
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.21
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.18
  • Tj Combo Win Rate 365d +0.12

Pushing prediction down

  • Field Size Change From Last -1.36
  • Today Field Size -1.02
  • Today Post Position -0.50
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 -0.18
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 -0.16

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-04 KEE 6f Dirt 5 7.8 78 86 Bump st;ins;chsd;faded
2026-03-14 OP 6f Dirt 3 5.0 87 89 4w turn;outkicked 2nd
2026-02-22 OP 6f Dirt 1 1.0 74 86 3-5p;bid3/16;drift out
2025-10-22 KEE 1.06m Turf 6 7.5 75 Prompt 2wd;gave way
2025-09-13 CD 1m Dirt 5 13.5 72 87 Press 2wbtw;vied;faded
2025-08-02 ELP 6f Dirt 1 2.3 79 79 Ins;wait 1/4;slip thru