John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R8

PP 3

OTTO THE CONQUEROR

H '21 · STREET SENSE × DREAM IT IS

Trainer: HARTMAN CHRIS · Jockey: ESPINOZA ASSAEL

Today's prediction

87.6

Speed fig

33.9%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +4.70
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +1.69
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.48
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.12
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.89

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Field Size -0.29
  • Num Career Starts -0.22
  • Class Par Trend -0.21
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.16
  • Mean Speed Fig Career -0.10

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-05-02 OP 6f Dirt 2 2.0 85 92 Stubborn til late
2026-04-18 OP 6f Dirt 4 4.0 85 92 Bmp st;2p-ins;bmps trn
2026-03-15 OP 6f Dirt 1 1.0 96 91 Turned back foe 1/8
2025-07-26 SAR 6f Dirt 1 0.8 91 96 Stmbld st;2p3/8;6p1/4
2025-06-28 CD 6.5f Dirt 7 7.0 86 100 Chased 2wd btw;faded
2025-05-16 CD 6.5f Dirt 5 6.0 89 94 Vied ins winner;faded
2025-04-13 KEE 6f Dirt 3 6.8 79 95 Vied ins foe;gave way
2024-08-24 SAR 7f Dirt 10 14.8 82 102 Bmp brk;ins turn;tired
2024-06-30 CD 7f Dirt 2 2.3 98 94 Chased 2wd;vied place
2024-06-05 CD 6.5f Dirt 1 0.8 94 Prompt 2w;cleared;held