John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R6

PP 7

OTAGO

H '20 · SPEIGHTSTOWN × MOM'S DEPUTY

Trainer: DANNER KELSEY · Jockey: CONCEPCION AXEL

Today's prediction

82.7

Speed fig

34.3%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +3.10
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.50
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.95
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.68
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.58

Pushing prediction down

  • Num Career Starts -0.26
  • Days Since Last Race -0.22
  • Today Field Size -0.22
  • Today Track Code -0.18
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 -0.15

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-05-07 CD 1m Turf 7 6.5 83 92 Saved ground; no avail
2026-02-27 TP 1m Dirt 6 9.3 83 96 Keen 3p1st;chsd 2p;yld
2026-01-17 FG 1.06m Turf 11 10.3 81 96 Never threatened
2025-12-21 TP 1m Dirt 7 10.0 81 97 Bumps brk; 3-4w turns
2025-10-11 BAQ 1m Turf 2 1.0 91 93 Chckd early;2-3p;5p1/4
2025-09-10 KD 1m Turf 8 10.5 73 3-4w behind;no threat
2025-08-10 MTH 1.06m Turf 5 3.3 87 92 Bumped st; ins; btwn
2025-06-14 MTH 1.13m Turf 2 5.0 86 94 Inside; 2nd best
2025-05-24 MTH 1.06m Turf 1 0.5 92 92 Angle out 1/4; surged
2025-05-03 LRL 1m Turf 2 1.8 85 88 3wd; rallied