John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R1

PP 2

OPTICAL

G '22 · CITY OF LIGHT × ESPRESSOANDACHECK

Trainer: DESORMEAUX J KEITH · Jockey: GRAHAM J

Today's prediction

79.7

Speed fig

8.8%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +1.69
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.80
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.64
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Max +0.22
  • Today Track Code +0.22

Pushing prediction down

  • Days Since Last Race -0.59
  • Num Career Starts -0.43
  • Starts Last 180d -0.27
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.27
  • Jockey Meet Itm Rate -0.21

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2025-11-13 CD 7.5f Dirt 9 20.0 71 95 Beat slow/brush st;6p
2025-09-28 CD 1.06m Turf 8 10.5 71 3-4w;6p upr;no impact
2025-09-20 CD 7f Dirt 3 3.0 91 95 Bmpd st;6p1/8;willngly
2025-08-09 CNL 1m Dirt 4 6.5 88 91 4w5/16;7w1/4; improved
2025-07-24 CNL 7f Dirt 2 0.3 88 86 3-2p;slip thru1/8;miss
2025-06-15 CD 7.5f Dirt 6 65.0 7 96 Ins;show little;eased
2025-05-23 CD 1m Dirt 2 2.8 90 95 Stalk 3w;outkck;ran on
2025-05-03 CD 6.5f Dirt 5 7.8 92 90 6p upper; improved
2025-01-30 FG 1.06m Turf 6 7.8 79 87 Bmpd st;3wd;5p1/4;wknd
2025-01-18 FG 1.06m Dirt 12 20.5 65 97 Inside; faded 2nd