John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R8

PP 11

ONE MORE FREUD

C '23 · TONALIST × FREUDIAN FINISH

Trainer: HESS R B JR · Jockey: HERNANDEZ JUAN J

Today's prediction

83.6

Speed fig

24.9%

In-the-money

Last 2 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +4.29
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +1.78
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.04
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.75
  • Last Speed Fig +0.50

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -1.04
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.45
  • Today Post Position -0.35
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Max -0.23
  • Today Track Code -0.18

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2025-08-30 MTH 1m Dirt 1 0.3 91 89 Str duel; determinedly
2025-08-01 SAR 6f Dirt 1 14.5 90 75 Ins-2p;geared down