John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Belmont at The Big A R2

PP 2

ON THE HILL

G '19 · FED BIZ × LAVENDER HILL

Trainer: BOND HAROLD JAMES · Jockey: GAFFALIONE TYLER

Scratched today

79.3

Speed fig

In-the-money

This horse was scratched and won't run today. Past-performance data below is unaffected.

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +1.06
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +1.05
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.97
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.79
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.68

Pushing prediction down

  • Days Since Last Race -1.40
  • Today Track Code -0.57
  • Starts Last 180d -0.35
  • Num Career Starts -0.28
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Last -0.19

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2025-11-07 AQU 6.5f Dirt 95 Protected 5/8; equ amb
2025-08-24 SAR 6.5f Dirt 1 1.3 85 92 8-9w uppr; closed well
2025-07-26 SAR 6f Dirt 3 2.0 87 92 4w pursuit; ran on
2025-06-08 SAR 6f Dirt 3 5.5 88 91 Lug out turn;10path1/4
2025-04-27 AQU 6f Dirt 5 6.0 77 90 Stdy7/16;ins-3p turn
2025-03-15 AQU 6f Dirt 4 5.8 76 90 Chased 2p; kept on
2025-02-08 AQU 6f Dirt 3 2.5 92 91 Outside;4p turn;chased
2025-01-11 AQU 6f Dirt 2 1.8 85 91 3-4p turn;6p into lane
2024-11-20 FL 6f Dirt 1 1.0 80 85 Brk slw;sent;drvg
2024-08-21 SAR 5.5f Dirt 6 7.5 76 86 Out;4-5w;empty;bled