John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R5

PP 2

OLD TRACE

C '22 · MORE THAN READY × ORIGINATOR

Trainer: WARPOOL SHANE · Jockey: ACHARD ALEX

Today's prediction

58.2

Speed fig

4.6%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 +0.30
  • Distance Change From Last +0.23
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 +0.22
  • Today Post Position +0.22
  • Run Style S +0.14

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -9.62
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -2.27
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -1.33
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -1.12
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.94

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-06 MVR 1m Dirt 5 8.0 56 71 Stp slw;ins;weakened
2026-03-11 TP 1m Dirt 2 4.3 71 75 Beat slow;4w;edged plc
2026-02-21 TP 1m Dirt 8 11.8 63 75 Took back st;3-4p2nd
2026-01-16 TP 1m Dirt 8 8.5 65 78 4-3p;2p upr;moved up
2025-11-30 CD 7f Dirt 11 28.3 45 81 Bmpd st;ins;steady upr
2025-10-22 IND 1.06m Turf 3 5.8 67 70 Awk;late rally 5path
2025-09-30 IND 1m Turf 2 4.3 65 70 Bmp;bid1/4;rally5path
2025-08-28 IND 1m Turf 6 5.0 58 71 3path;mild late bid
2025-08-09 ELP 1m Dirt 7 23.5 48 74 Step slow st;3p;tired
2025-06-25 CD 1m Dirt 7 38.5 35 80 Bump st;2p;retreated