John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R5

PP 3

OFFLEE NAUGHTY

H '18 · FLASHBACK × ACTING NAUGHTY

Trainer: SHARP JOE · Jockey: GAFFALIONE TYLER

Today's prediction

87.1

Speed fig

38.8%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +5.52
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +2.02
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.07
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.93
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.58

Pushing prediction down

  • Num Career Starts -0.28
  • Distance Change From Last -0.22
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Max -0.22
  • Class Par Trend -0.18
  • Today Field Size -0.15

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-07 GP 1.50m Turf 4 1.8 91 89 Chkd ins;3-4p;bmpd 1/8
2026-01-24 GP 1.50m Turf 10 11.0 83 95 Outrun 3-4wd
2024-08-22 DMR 1.38m Turf 2 1.0 98 92 Ins-3w2nd;no late kick
2024-06-16 SA 1.75m Turf 5 4.5 89 95 2-3wd;3deep;no rally
2024-05-04 SA 1.25m Turf 4 0.5 92 97 Ins-2w;angl;bp btw str
2024-03-23 SA 1.50m Turf 3 3.0 84 95 Ins-2wd; gained 3rd
2023-10-01 SA 1.25m Turf 7 4.5 86 98 Pinballd st;ins;angled
2023-09-02 DMR 1.38m Turf 7 4.5 92 97 4-6wd rally; flattened
2023-06-18 SA 1.75m Turf 2 4.5 91 96 Traffic 3rd; angled4wd
2023-05-13 SA 1.50m Turf 1 1.3 107 96 Bit slow;hit rail 5/16