John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R11

PP 13

OCEAN RIPPLE

F '22 · ENGLISH CHANNEL × CHARREADA

Trainer: JACOBSON DAVID · Jockey: ORTIZ JOSE L

Today's prediction

77.9

Speed fig

32.8%

In-the-money

Last 7 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +3.17
  • Today Track Code +0.42
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.38
  • Last Speed Fig +0.28
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 +0.25

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -1.11
  • Today Field Size -0.60
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.53
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.48
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.42

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-05-15 BAQ 1.06m Turf 1 0.1 81 75 Tracked 2p; up late
2026-04-30 CD 1.06m Turf 6 5.5 74 77 Stp slw;ins;traffc upr
2025-06-07 IND 5f Dirt 5 11.5 61 75 Bmp st;improved late
2025-04-29 CD 6.5f Dirt 7 14.8 56 82 Trailed 2p; no impact
2025-03-28 GP 1m Turf 2 5.3 74 74 3-4p2nd;bid3/16;lt gn
2025-03-02 GP 1.13m Turf 11 10.0 73 80 Chased 2wd; empty
2024-09-08 KD 1m Turf 4 6.5 67 71 Off slow;ins;flattened