John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R5

PP 5

NYQUISTADOR

G '22 · NYQUIST × BASHFUL

Trainer: MEDINA ROBERT · Jockey: GAFFALIONE TYLER

Today's prediction

81.5

Speed fig

59.2%

In-the-money

Last 6 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +2.44
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.93
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.80
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.72
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.56

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.64
  • Best Finish Pos Career -0.19
  • Today Field Size -0.15
  • Field Early Speed Count -0.13
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Max -0.12

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-22 KEE 1.13m Turf 6 3.3 82 87 Ins;chsd 3-6p1/8;evnly
2026-03-04 TP 1.25m Dirt 3 2.0 85 87 Brsh gt;ins;bestd 1/16
2026-02-18 TP 1m Dirt 2 1.5 91 86 Stalk ins;3w1/8;ran on
2025-12-26 TP 1m Dirt 3 1.5 87 80 3p;bid;outkck;duel plc
2025-10-24 BAQ 1.06m Turf 6 4.0 78 79 2p;shuffld;no lte kick
2024-12-08 GP 1m Turf 6 3.5 76 80 Head turn;ins;7w 3/16