John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R7

PP 14

NOT THAT SIMPLE

F '23 · NOT THIS TIME × SIMPLY CONFECTION

Trainer: DEVAUX CHERIE · Jockey: ORTIZ JOSE L

Today's prediction

76.6

Speed fig

5.5%

In-the-money

Last 1 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +2.23
  • Today Track Code +1.09
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 +1.04
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 +0.38
  • Weight Change From Last +0.22

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.96
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.75
  • Today Field Size -0.73
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.68
  • Max Speed Fig Career -0.43

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-21 FG 1m Turf 6 8.5 71 78 Well back; belatedly