John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R10

PP 5

NON CONFORMING

C '23 · UNIFIED × FLOUT

Trainer: LYNCH BRIAN A · Jockey: SAEZ LUIS

Today's prediction

75.7

Speed fig

39.5%

In-the-money

Last 4 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Speed Fig Consistency +1.68
  • BRIS Prime Power +0.85
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.74
  • Last Speed Fig +0.44
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Last +0.37

Pushing prediction down

  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -1.58
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -1.30
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.89
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 -0.40
  • Today Purse Log10 -0.31

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-19 KEE 7f Dirt 1 1.3 83 92 Ins pair;clear;hld swy
2026-02-07 GP 7f Dirt 10 59.3 4 89 Brief speed inside
2025-11-19 CD 6f Dirt 2 2.5 82 84 Vie 2w-3pbtw;bmpd;game
2025-10-11 KEE 6.5f Dirt 3 9.8 71 89 Vied ins pair;no match