PP 11
NOBLE AFFAIR
C '23 · VEKOMA × PADEN AFFAIR
Trainer: ASMUSSEN STEVEN M · Jockey: ORTIZ JOSE L
Today's prediction
87.7
Speed fig
40.1%
In-the-money
Last 3 races
Why this prediction?
Base prediction: 83.2 fig points
Pushing prediction up
- BRIS Prime Power +2.37
- Max Speed Fig Career +1.17
- Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.97
- Speed Fig Consistency +0.34
- Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.27
Pushing prediction down
- Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.41
- Speed Fig At Similar Distance Mean -0.15
- Prior Starts At Churchill -0.14
- Speed Fig Trend -0.13
- Mean Pace 2f Last 5 -0.05
Past performances
| Date | Track | Dist | Sfx | Fin | Beat | Fig | Class | Comment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | OP | 6f | Dirt | 2 | 0.3 | 93 | 90 | Bid3p turn;duel;denied |
| 2026-01-24 | FG | 6f | Dirt | 1 | 0.5 | 89 | 90 | In charge; on task |
| 2025-12-27 | FG | 5.5f | Turf | 3 | 1.0 | 80 | 81 | Trail; outs; rallied |