John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R1

PP 2

NIP N TUCK

G '18 · STAY THIRSTY × ARTEMUS KITTEN

Trainer: KING BARRY L · Jockey: MACHADO LUAN

Today's prediction

78.2

Speed fig

33.3%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +1.14
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.45
  • Today Post Position +0.26
  • Today Track Code +0.22
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.17

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.55
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Last -0.17
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Mean -0.13
  • Today Field Size -0.12
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Max -0.12

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-28 TP 1.06m Dirt 4 4.5 76 82 2w;vied btw9/16;yieldd
2026-03-14 TP 1m Dirt 2 0.5 84 82 Ins;bid 3p btw1/4;duel
2026-02-27 TP 1m Dirt 2 0.1 77 80 3p;4p upr;bid1/16;duel
2026-02-14 TP 1m Dirt 4 5.5 72 82 3p;5-7p2nd;willingly
2026-01-17 TP 1m Dirt 1 0.3 80 82 4p;bid 4-3w;led;lasted
2025-12-17 TP 1m Dirt 4 3.8 78 82 Chased ins no kick
2025-10-26 HAW 7.5f Turf 12 17.5 55 81 Rated 4p; never menace
2025-09-17 IND 1m Turf 5 9.0 77 82 Inside;late bid 4path
2025-08-18 IND 1m Turf 2 5.3 78 82 Rail;rallied1/8 late
2025-07-02 IND 1m Turf 4 7.0 78 82 Press early2p;gave way