John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R7

PP 8

NINETEENFOURTYFIVE

R '22 · V. E. DAY × RUN ALONG

Trainer: LAUER MICHAEL · Jockey: TORRES CRISTIAN A

Today's prediction

72.3

Speed fig

25.9%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Speed Fig Consistency +1.01
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 +0.25
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.21
  • Last Speed Fig +0.19
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 +0.19

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -3.19
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.86
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.48
  • Today Post Position -0.46
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 -0.46

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-05-02 OP 6f Dirt 7 9.3 73 92 Traffic 1/4; evenly
2025-10-27 IND 1.04m Dirt 6 14.8 66 78 Stalk rail;faded 5/16
2025-10-02 IND 1m Dirt 5 7.3 67 78 Rally5p3/8;faltered
2025-09-09 IND 1.06m Dirt 6 21.3 58 78 Bmp st;through early
2025-08-27 IND 1m Turf 10 40.3 17 72 Inside;trailed;eased
2025-08-07 IND 1.06m Turf 6 9.8 50 73 Improved position late
2025-07-30 IND 1m Dirt 4 5.3 78 78 Bid late3path;faltered
2025-07-05 IND 1m Turf 9 12.5 70 83 Passed tired foes
2025-06-25 IND 1.06m Dirt 2 1.0 79 73 Rail;blckd3/16;3p;rlly
2025-06-11 IND 1.04m Dirt 3 14.0 67 78 Rail;bid3/8;3path str