Derby 2026
← Race

PP 3

NIMAH

F '23 · GUN RUNNER × E. T. INDY

Trainer: BAFFERT BOB · Jockey: HERNANDEZ JUAN J

Today's prediction

88.6

Speed fig

35.1%

In-the-money

Last 2 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 83.2 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +2.98
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.61
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.61
  • BRIS Dirt Pedigree +0.43
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.37

Pushing prediction down

  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.68
  • Speed Fig At Similar Distance Mean -0.22
  • Prior Starts At Churchill -0.21
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 -0.08
  • BRIS Turf Pedigree -0.07

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2025-12-06 LRC 1.06m Dirt 3 5.0 86 93 Outside;brsh str;yield
2025-11-23 DMR 6.5f Dirt 1 1.8 90 87 Clear;met bid3/8;clear