John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R4

PP 2

NEIGH BABY

C '23 · OMAHA BEACH × PROPOSE

Trainer: ENGLEHART JEREMIAH C · Jockey: ORTIZ JOSE L

Today's prediction

81.0

Speed fig

46.6%

In-the-money

Last 5 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +3.05
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.63
  • Today Track Code +0.34
  • Last Speed Fig +0.26
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.25

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.36
  • Best Finish Pos Career -0.24
  • Today Field Size -0.20
  • Class Par Trend -0.19
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.13

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-20 AQU 7f Dirt 2 1.8 85 85 Unprepared st;repelled
2026-02-05 AQU 1m Dirt 5 13.0 78 81 4p turn;5p1/4;empty
2025-10-09 BAQ 6f Dirt 2 0.1 77 82 Step slw;3p trn;closed
2025-08-30 SAR 6f Dirt 2 0.3 79 87 Chased 2-3w; mild kick
2025-08-08 SAR 6f Dirt 3 11.5 75 87 Chased 4-2w; kept on