John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R1

PP 8

NATIONAL ECLIPSE

G '21 · ALTERNATION × MIDNIGHT ECLIPSE

Trainer: DIODORO ROBERTINO · Jockey: ORTIZ IRAD JR

Today's prediction

81.3

Speed fig

42.9%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +1.52
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.78
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.63
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.54
  • Last Speed Fig +0.49

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Post Position -0.35
  • Class Par Trend -0.18
  • Today Field Size -0.13
  • Num Career Starts -0.12
  • Today Purse Log10 -0.10

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-08 FG 1m Dirt 4 7.5 87 86 Attnd pace;flattened
2026-02-06 FG 1.06m Dirt 4 6.8 83 86 Trailed most
2026-01-17 FG 1.06m Turf 10 16.3 75 87 No factor
2025-10-16 KEE 1.06m Dirt 8 9.5 81 93 Brshd btw st;rear 3-4p
2025-09-06 KD 1.31m Turf 9 18.8 73 91 Tracked 2-3p;gave way
2025-08-17 ELP 1m Dirt 1 0.3 91 88 3w;prs;bid 4w1/16;duel
2025-06-21 CD 1.06m Turf 8 5.3 81 92 3p2nd;6p upr;weakened
2025-05-17 CD 1.13m Dirt 8 21.5 71 93 4p1st; faded 2nd
2025-04-17 KEE 1.13m Dirt 3 2.8 86 89 2w;rail aim1/8;blocked
2025-03-08 FG 1.04m Dirt 4 3.3 82 93 Ins;wait;lack room1/16