John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Saratoga R4

PP 2

NAIVE MELODY

F '22 · COMPLEXITY × GOODS AND SERVICES

Trainer: WARD WESLEY A · Jockey: DAVIS DYLAN

Today's prediction

86.0

Speed fig

60.4%

In-the-money

Last 4 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +5.78
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +1.16
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.01
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.76
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.54

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 -0.45
  • Today Weight -0.29
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 -0.25
  • Early Late Pace Diff Last 5 -0.19
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Max -0.14

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-12 AQU 6f Dirt 1 2.3 88 91 3w upper; edged away
2025-04-25 AQU 6f Dirt 1 5.8 92 91 In hand 3-2w; drew clr
2025-02-08 AQU 7f Dirt 3 2.8 80 90 In hand ins; wknd late
2024-12-28 AQU 6f Dirt 1 0.8 91 80 4-3w upper; gamely