John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Belmont at The Big A R1

PP 2

NABOKOV

G '19 · UNCLE MO × PEPPY RAFAELA

Trainer: KANTARMACI ILKAY · Jockey: ZAYAS EDGARD J

Today's prediction

85.4

Speed fig

51.6%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +3.29
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.99
  • Last Speed Fig +0.95
  • Last Finish Pos +0.46
  • Today Field Size +0.44

Pushing prediction down

  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.18
  • Mean Late Pace Last 5 -0.08
  • Jockey Meet Win Rate -0.08
  • Quirin Speed Points -0.07
  • Early Late Pace Diff Last 5 -0.07

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-05-08 BAQ 6.5f Dirt 1 4.5 94 88 3-2w in aim; edged clr
2026-04-11 AQU 6.5f Dirt 3 2.0 77 88 Ins turn;headed out1/4
2026-03-13 AQU 6f Dirt 1 0.5 83 89 2-3path;lead1/8;held
2026-02-19 OP 6f Dirt 7 7.0 69 85 Ins;cued5/16;yield1/16
2026-01-13 WRD 5f Dirt 10 12.0 69 84 Rear brk;3p;no bid
2025-11-23 CD 6f Dirt 9 11.5 66 84 Track ins;chased;faded
2025-11-08 CD 7f Dirt 9 16.5 61 87 4w; retreat; no menace
2025-09-28 CD 6f Dirt 7 11.5 65 87 Press 2w;faded 3-4pupr
2025-09-11 CD 6f Dirt 5 5.8 83 89 Tracked ins; yielded
2025-08-02 ELP 6f Dirt 7 12.0 76 90 Inside; no impact