John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R6

PP 3

NA PALI JOE

G '21 · WILL TAKE CHARGE × NA PALI SPIRIT

Trainer: ASMUSSEN STEVEN M · Jockey: ASMUSSEN KEITH J

Today's prediction

73.2

Speed fig

29.0%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 +0.24
  • Field Avg Quirin +0.19
  • Days Since Last Race +0.16
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.16
  • Today Post Position +0.14

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -1.15
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.75
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.56
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.30
  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.24

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-23 OP 1.06m Dirt 3 6.0 73 82 Bid 3p1/4;even out1/16
2026-04-03 OP 1m Dirt 1 6.3 77 75 Bid 3p 1/4; drew clear
2026-03-12 TP 1m Dirt 4 4.0 77 79 2-3p;chsd;mild;vie shw
2026-03-04 TP 1m Dirt 2 1.3 76 77 3w;vied 2w2d;led;bestd
2026-01-08 TP 1.06m Dirt 4 4.0 73 79 4-3p;chsd btw;shft;evn
2025-12-12 TP 1m Dirt 3 0.8 74 79 Ang out finished well
2025-10-13 IND 1m Turf 2 3.8 62 74 3p;bid5/8;rally3/16
2025-08-12 IND 1.04m Dirt 3 9.5 68 74 Stalked3p;no late bid
2025-06-23 IND 1m Turf 3 3.0 73 76 Stalk5p;gain show late
2025-05-29 IND 1.04m Dirt 4 16.0 61 78 Inside;gave way5/16