John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R9

PP 12

MY BOY TONY

G '20 · NOBLE MISSION × BOLD CONTENDER

Trainer: KENNEALLY EDDIE · Jockey: CURTIS BEN

Today's prediction

86.0

Speed fig

28.7%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +6.13
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.97
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.89
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.82
  • Last Speed Fig +0.77

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Post Position -0.36
  • BRIS Mud Pedigree -0.28
  • Num Career Starts -0.20
  • Weight Change From Last -0.20
  • Jockey Meet Win Rate -0.20

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-22 KEE 1.50m Turf 2 0.3 99 90 3p;prss 2w;led1/4;game
2025-09-04 KD 1.50m Turf 7 14.5 69 90 Ins far turn; yielded
2025-07-26 CNL 1.25m Turf 4 6.8 86 86 2p;3p trn;5w upr;impvd
2025-07-03 ELP 1.06m Turf 4 7.0 88 92 Step slow;ins;miss shw
2025-05-18 CD 1.13m Turf 5 3.5 81 91 3w;bid;faded;left lead
2025-04-24 KEE 1.50m Turf 2 0.8 93 91 Stalk 3p;4p upr;ran on
2025-03-18 FG 1m Turf 2 0.5 87 86 3p;4wbtw1/4;kpton well
2025-02-15 FG 1m Turf 9 9.0 80 87 5-4p;chsd 3p2nd;faded
2024-11-21 CD 1.13m Turf 2 0.3 83 91 Ins;4pbtw upr;bid;miss
2024-10-25 KEE 1.19m Turf 3 4.3 85 91 Ins;brsh 4p1/4;staybtw