John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R7

PP 7

MUIR WOODS

C '23 · MUNNINGS × SHOW ME

Trainer: ORTIZ JOHN ALEXANDER · Jockey: CONCEPCION AXEL

Today's prediction

74.9

Speed fig

36.0%

In-the-money

Last 5 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Today Track Code +0.36
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.23
  • Distance Change From Last +0.20
  • Num Career Starts +0.13
  • Last Speed Fig +0.12

Pushing prediction down

  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.47
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.44
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.40
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.31
  • Today Post Position -0.28

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-05-09 CD 6.5f Dirt 4 2.5 77 86 Ins;rail bid5/16;yield
2026-02-25 TP 6.5f Dirt 1 0.8 80 78 Cleared 3/8;held well
2026-02-07 TP 6f Dirt 8 8.3 66 84 Duel ins;falterd;eased
2025-12-26 TP 6.5f Dirt 3 6.5 73 84 Prss 2w;outkk;held shw
2025-10-19 KEE 1.06m Dirt 7 16.0 58 81 Vied 3w;outkck3/16;wkn