John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R7

PP 7

MOVIN' ON UP

M '21 · ACCELERATE × STIFLE YOURSELF

Trainer: JOSEPH SAFFIE A JR · Jockey: ORTIZ JOSE L

Today's prediction

90.5

Speed fig

37.5%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +7.88
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +1.61
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.28
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.18
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.89

Pushing prediction down

  • Distance Change From Last -0.61
  • Today Track Code -0.56
  • Jockey Meet Win Rate -0.19
  • Num Career Starts -0.15
  • Today Post Position -0.13

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-12 KEE 5.5f Turf 3 3.3 91 93 Ins;4pbtw3/16;duel shw
2026-02-28 GP 1m Turf 5 4.8 79 92 In range 3wd; no rally
2026-01-24 GP 1.06m Turf 3 1.0 95 93 Bid3-4w;drifted late
2025-12-20 GP 1m Turf 2 0.1 93 92 Checked into 1st; 2wd
2025-08-30 KD 1m Turf 9 10.0 85 92 Chased 4w; faded
2025-07-10 SAR 1m Turf 3 0.8 96 92 Bobbled; bumped st
2025-06-01 CD 1.06m Turf 3 2.3 92 92 Ins;wait;split;stdy1/8
2025-05-03 CD 1m Turf 3 1.0 91 94 Ins;2-4p btw1/8;up shw
2025-03-29 GP 1.06m Turf 1 3.0 100 91 Rail; got thru 3/16
2025-03-15 GP 1m Turf 1 2.8 87 86 Bid3/8;2p2nd;kick clr