John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R2

PP 11

MOVIE NIGHT

F '23 · SPEIGHTSTOWN × SAVVY STAR

Trainer: WALDEN WILLIAM · Jockey: MACHADO LUAN

Today's prediction

84.3

Speed fig

59.0%

In-the-money

Last 1 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +3.60
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +1.96
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.88
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.78
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.60

Pushing prediction down

  • Field Avg Quirin -0.64
  • Starts Last 180d -0.36
  • Today Field Size -0.30
  • Today Post Position -0.28
  • Speed Fig Trend -0.26

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-03 KEE 6.5f Dirt 2 1.3 92 88 Ins;gain;5p1/4;rallied