John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R6

PP 3

MOUNTAIN GRANDEUR

C '23 · MAXFIELD × ROVENNA

Trainer: FOLEY GREG · Jockey: BEJARANO R

Today's prediction

48.6

Speed fig

9.8%

In-the-money

Last 4 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Speed Fig Consistency +1.22
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Last +0.41
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Max +0.37
  • Distance Change From Last +0.25
  • Run Style P +0.24

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -18.77
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -4.31
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -3.71
  • Last Speed Fig -1.39
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -1.33

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-12 KEE 1.06m Dirt 12 74.5 -10 83 Vied ins;wknd 3/8;easd
2026-01-01 FG 1m Turf 10 104.5 81 No factor; eased
2025-11-30 CD 1.06m Dirt 3 5.0 68 77 Ins;chsd 2-4p1/8;outkk
2025-09-28 CD 1m Dirt 9 46.0 28 85 Bump st;4p;outrun