John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R9

PP 14

MOTHER LODE

F '23 · HIT IT A BOMB × ORO BLANCO

Trainer: HEATH DESTIN G · Jockey: GRAHAM J

Today's prediction

66.7

Speed fig

20.5%

In-the-money

Last 2 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Class Par Trend +0.34
  • Today Track Code +0.27
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.26
  • Distance Change From Last +0.24
  • Field Avg Quirin +0.23

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -6.14
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -1.03
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.63
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.59
  • Today Field Size -0.55

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-30 CD 1.06m Turf 7 7.0 72 77 Ins;chsd btw upr;nobid
2026-02-26 TP 6.5f Dirt 6 8.3 62 72 Chased 2wbtw;no menace