John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R6

PP 9

MORUNNING

G '21 · MO TOWN × CALYPSO RUN

Trainer: DAVIS CHRISTOPHER · Jockey: SAEZ LUIS

Today's prediction

82.4

Speed fig

42.1%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +5.29
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.97
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.75
  • Last Speed Fig +0.46
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.38

Pushing prediction down

  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -1.59
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.37
  • Today Post Position -0.36
  • Today Track Code -0.31
  • Is Surface Change From Last -0.18

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-18 KEE 1.06m Dirt 1 7.0 88 91 Much the best; handily
2026-03-06 OP 1.06m Dirt 3 6.0 85 89 Cue2p1/4;bmp3/16;faded
2026-01-21 DED 6.5f Dirt 1 4.3 83 82 Unchllnged; going away
2025-11-20 CD 1m Dirt 2 1.5 86 86 Ins winner;bested late
2025-09-13 CD 1m Dirt 2 0.3 90 86 Ins;cleared;worn down
2025-08-03 ELP 6f Dirt 3 8.0 87 88 3p;no match;held show
2025-07-14 ELP 1m Dirt 5 12.8 72 87 Vied 3w; 5p upr; faded
2025-06-12 CD 6.5f Dirt 6 9.0 71 91 4-3p;5-6p1/4;no factor
2025-05-16 CD 6f Dirt 3 3.3 86 91 2wd btwn; stayed on
2025-01-19 OP 6f Dirt 8 25.0 49 91 Off step slw;well back