John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R9

PP 16

MOON CHANNEL

C '22 · ENGLISH CHANNEL × CRYSTAL MOON

Trainer: LYNCH BRIAN A · Jockey: GEROUX FLORENT

Today's prediction

72.3

Speed fig

16.0%

In-the-money

Last 3 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.60
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.58
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 +0.48
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.43
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.41

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -2.87
  • Days Since Last Race -1.35
  • Field Size Change From Last -1.16
  • Today Field Size -0.66
  • Today Post Position -0.40

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2025-06-08 CD 1.13m Turf 7 10.8 70 87 Lug in st;keen4p;nobid
2025-05-02 CD 1.13m Turf 3 2.8 89 87 Wheeled out; gaining
2025-04-13 KEE 1.06m Turf 2 4.3 79 87 Off slw/stdy;ins;rally