John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R5

PP 16

MODERN SOUND

M '21 · AUDIBLE × MODERN MASTERPIECE

Trainer: MAKER MICHAEL J · Jockey: GAFFALIONE TYLER

Today's prediction

76.4

Speed fig

17.6%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.86
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.54
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 +0.49
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 +0.34
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.32

Pushing prediction down

  • Field Size Change From Last -1.28
  • BRIS Prime Power -0.85
  • Distance Change From Last -0.49
  • Today Field Size -0.49
  • Today Post Position -0.40

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-25 TP 6f Dirt 1 0.5 80 84 Step slw st;up in time
2026-02-14 TP 1m Dirt 8 12.0 72 88 2-4p;6-7p3/16;no factr
2025-12-26 TP 1m Dirt 5 7.5 82 91 Ins;4p2nd;6p upr;mvdup
2025-11-07 CD 1m Turf 3 1.0 77 86 Chck;3-2p;7p1/8;belatd
2025-10-03 KEE 1m Turf 3 0.5 86 86 Ins;btw;5w1/4;belated
2025-09-07 KD 7f Turf 2 0.1 80 87 Settld;4-w turn;missed
2025-07-12 ELP 5.5f Dirt 4 4.5 81 87 Urged ins; belatedly
2025-06-15 CD 5.5f Turf 4 2.5 83 87 Ins;rally;tip;mss show
2025-05-17 CD 5.5f Turf 6 6.0 76 87 Off slow;3p;mvd up btw
2025-03-13 TP 6f Dirt 2 1.0 83 77 Angled widest late run