John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R9

PP 16

MODERN ESCAPE

F '23 · MODERNIST × ESCAPEPROOF

Trainer: MORENO TITO · Jockey: BAYS BROOKE

Scratched today

68.6

Speed fig

In-the-money

This horse was scratched and won't run today. Past-performance data below is unaffected.

Last 7 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 +0.83
  • Today Track Code +0.51
  • Today Weight +0.27
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 +0.25
  • Weight Change From Last +0.23

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -6.15
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.81
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.78
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.74
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.66

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-30 CD 1.06m Turf 8 8.3 71 77 Took back early;2-4wd
2026-04-12 KEE 1m Turf 11 13.3 62 81 3-4p; never involved
2026-03-26 TP 1m Dirt 6 9.5 67 74 Sttld3w;mild late gain
2026-03-12 TP 1.06m Dirt 6 7.8 57 74 Ins trio5/16;steady1/8
2026-02-26 TP 1m Dirt 10 18.3 61 78 Steadied st;lag;5p3/16
2026-01-01 TP 1m Dirt 3 2.0 75 75 Awk st;lag;7-9p3/16
2025-10-17 KEE 5.5f Turf 9 15.3 53 81 Fidgeted/hesitated st