John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R6

PP 2

MIWA

M '21 · SIYOUNI × BARTABA

Trainer: SHARP JOE · Jockey: CONCEPCION AXEL

Today's prediction

87.8

Speed fig

27.4%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +6.26
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +1.84
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.88
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.61
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 +0.58

Pushing prediction down

  • Days Since Last Race -0.42
  • Num Career Starts -0.26
  • Starts Last 180d -0.24
  • Last Finish Pos -0.15
  • BRIS Mud Pedigree -0.15

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2025-11-27 CD 1.13m Turf 10 5.5 86 92 Step slow/bmpd st;ins
2025-10-19 KEE 1.50m Turf 6 10.0 89 92 3-2p;3-4p3rd;flattened
2025-09-06 KD 1.31m Turf 3 3.5 95 92 Riddn 5-w 1/4;outfnshd
2025-08-28 KD 1.31m Turf 1 7.0 85 87 5w move;much best
2025-07-06 SAR 1.50m Turf 7 16.3 77 87 Last away;3-4p;falter
2025-06-06 SAR 1.19m Turf 5 7.8 83 97 Off slow;ins-2p turns
2025-04-25 KEE 1m Turf 4 4.0 90 Off slow;2w;5-9p upr
2024-11-21 CHY 1.18m Dirt 1 0.1
2024-10-17 CHY 1.12m Turf 2 1.3
2024-08-16 CLD 1.12m Turf 1 3.0