John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R3

PP 9

MISTER MMMMM

G '18 · SPEIGHTSTER × CELEBRATED

Trainer: DONJUAN SERGIO · Jockey: CORRALES GERARDO

Today's prediction

63.8

Speed fig

6.5%

In-the-money

Last 11 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +2.31
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.11
  • Speed Fig Consistency +0.66
  • Distance Change From Last +0.24
  • Trainer Meet Itm Rate +0.16

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -11.41
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -2.03
  • Last Speed Fig -0.68
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.36
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 -0.35

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-29 CD 6.5f Dirt 5 33.8 43 90 Pressed 4p;faded turn
2026-03-16 FG 5.5f Turf 7 24.0 52 92 3p;headd 5/16;wknd upr
2026-02-16 FG 5.5f Turf 2 5.8 86 91 Bump;stalk 2w;no match
2025-12-18 FG 5.5f Turf 7 6.0 81 91 Sharp; track; no bid
2025-09-28 RP 5f Turf 8 3.5 83 93 4w; angled in turn
2025-09-06 CNL 5.5f Turf 5 4.0 88 92 Chased; steady fade
2025-08-10 ELP 5.5f Turf 1 1.5 92 91 2w;cleared 3/8;driving
2025-06-28 LS 5f Turf 3 4.5 86 93 4-5w; secured show
2025-05-26 LS 5f Turf 6 2.5 84 93 Ins 1/4;shiftd 4p;even
2024-09-02 SAR 5.5f Turf 8 6.5 81 94 Bmp brk;pinchd;3-4p;6p
2024-08-11 CNL 5.5f Turf 5 2.5 88 95 Vied 3w;weakened late