John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R7

PP 2

MISS COMPLICATED

F '23 · COMPLEXITY × CAUSE FOR PRAISE

Trainer: WILKES IAN R · Jockey: ARRIETA FRANCISCO

Today's prediction

80.9

Speed fig

26.9%

In-the-money

Last 6 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +3.50
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.63
  • Last Speed Fig +0.28
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.27
  • Today Post Position +0.26

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Field Size -0.75
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.52
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.42
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.34
  • Best Finish Pos Career -0.27

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-18 KEE 7f Dirt 3 3.5 82 88 Press 3w-4p;bid;yieldd
2026-03-15 GP 7f Dirt 2 3.5 84 85 Ins-2p;angl out;ran on
2026-01-04 GP 1m Dirt 4 14.8 61 81 2wd bid btw; empty
2025-09-13 CD 1m Dirt 2 5.3 83 87 Bmpd btw;5p upr;ran on
2025-08-02 ELP 6f Dirt 2 2.3 75 79 Bobbled;7p3/16;rallied
2025-06-25 CD 5f Dirt 3 0.5 81 84 Press3p;hung final1/8