John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R8

PP 7

MISS AUTHENTIC

F '22 · AUTHENTIC × VERTICAL VISION

Trainer: KENNEALLY EDDIE · Jockey: CURTIS BEN

Today's prediction

85.4

Speed fig

47.1%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +4.88
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.90
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.80
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.71
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.60

Pushing prediction down

  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.15
  • Today Post Position -0.14
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Max -0.13
  • Weight Change From Last -0.12
  • Num Career Starts -0.11

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-14 CNL 1m Dirt 5 8.0 84 92 4wd; never menaced
2026-02-07 OP 1.06m Dirt 5 14.0 81 96 One paced off rail
2025-12-21 OP 1.06m Dirt 1 2.8 90 91 4w 1/4;outside bid;clr
2025-11-28 CD 1.13m Turf 3 2.5 81 88 Ins;wait;edge show btw
2025-10-08 IND 1.04m Dirt 1 5.5 85 85 Bid btw3/8;mild urging
2025-09-01 CNL 1.06m Turf 3 1.0 82 87 Step slow;4-5p;rallied
2025-07-17 CNL 1.06m Dirt 1 4.5 88 80 Bobbled;3p;kick clear
2025-06-04 CD 1.13m Dirt 3 7.8 75 84 2p;chck 1st;up shw5/16
2025-05-19 IND 1.04m Dirt 2 0.1 80 75 Clear;duel;outfinished
2025-04-06 KEE 1.06m Dirt 7 19.3 72 84 Ins;2-3p2nd;no factor