John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R4

PP 2

MISCHIEF RIDE

C '23 · MAXIMUS MISCHIEF × NASHOBA'S CANDY

Trainer: BARNETT BOBBY C · Jockey: GUTIERREZ MARIO

Today's prediction

79.0

Speed fig

25.3%

In-the-money

Last 5 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +1.55
  • Today Track Code +0.39
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.34
  • Today Post Position +0.28
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.24

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.33
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.32
  • Class Par Trend -0.29
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.26
  • Field Early Speed Count -0.16

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-10 KEE 1.06m Turf 8 5.0 77 5-4p;float 8p1/8;nobid
2026-03-06 FG 1.06m Turf 1 0.3 80 78 Asked 3wd 1/4;got up
2026-02-05 FG 1.06m Turf 3 2.0 72 84 Adv5w; bmpd1/16
2025-12-20 FG 6f Dirt 6 13.8 66 85 Mid pack; wknd
2025-11-30 CD 5f Turf 6 4.5 74 87 Bump/steady 1/2; 2p