John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R3

PP 1

MINT DRIVEN

M '21 · KLIMT × KISSABLE

Trainer: KING BARRY L · Jockey: SHEEHY DANNY

Today's prediction

69.1

Speed fig

18.0%

In-the-money

Last 11 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.81
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 +0.56
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 +0.28
  • Today Post Position +0.20
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.19

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -7.22
  • Distance Change From Last -0.50
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.37
  • Tj Combo Roi 365d -0.35
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.34

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-05-16 CD 1.06m Dirt 3 3.8 72 78 Stalk 3p;stay;miss plc
2026-04-25 CD 1m Dirt 5 17.0 62 81 Inside; no impact
2026-03-28 TP 6f Dirt 9 9.8 68 81 4p;bmpd 7p3/16;no thrt
2026-03-08 LRL 1m Dirt 3 12.8 68 85 Off rail trn;along 3rd
2025-12-27 TP 1m Dirt 4 2.8 75 80 Ins;3-5p upr;miss show
2025-12-12 TP 1.06m Dirt 3 3.8 71 78 Chased leveled off
2025-10-06 BTP 1m Turf 1 4.0 76 77 3w bid; drew clear
2025-09-10 BTP 1m Turf 3 9.5 72 76 4wd 1st turn;by-faders
2025-08-07 BTP 1m Turf 2 0.3 81 70 3wd far turn; closed
2025-05-17 BTP 1.04m Dirt 3 11.8 61 76 Along evenly; no kick
2025-03-26 TP 1m Dirt 3 2.8 74 75 Svd grnd moved up 3rd