John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R9

PP 12

MILITARY CRUISER

G '21 · CATALINA CRUISER × VASILISA

Trainer: VACCAREZZA NICHOLAS · Jockey: ORTIZ IRAD JR

Today's prediction

80.6

Speed fig

31.5%

In-the-money

Last 8 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +3.28
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.57
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.52
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.46
  • Today Track Code +0.21

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Post Position -0.46
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.27
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.24
  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.21
  • Jockey Meet Win Rate -0.17

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-17 KEE 5.5f Turf 3 2.3 80 91 Ins wnnr-2p;duel;yield
2026-01-11 GP 5f Turf 5 5.3 81 89 Btwn;3-4p;no rally
2025-11-12 CD 5f Turf 1 1.0 83 85 Track 3p;5p upr;rally
2025-09-04 CNL 5f Turf 3 0.5 78 79 Brk in;traffc3/8;rally
2025-08-01 ELP 5.5f Turf 3 3.3 80 82 Step slow;2-3p;chased
2025-06-27 CD 6.5f Dirt 9 15.8 65 90 Slow st; rush 4w;empty
2025-05-09 CD 5f Turf 5 2.5 76 87 Tracked 2wd btw;evenly
2024-05-04 CD 1m Dirt 11 35.3 50 90 Broke slow; eq amb