John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R11

PP 7

MIDNIGHT MARTINI

F '23 · YAUPON × TEX APPEAL

Trainer: CASSE MARK · Jockey: CASTELLANO J J

Today's prediction

80.3

Speed fig

6.0%

In-the-money

Last 2 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +4.46
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.02
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.63
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.62
  • BRIS Dirt Pedigree +0.43

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 -1.29
  • Today Purse Log10 -0.97
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.68
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.35
  • Today Track Code -0.34

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-05 GP 5f Dirt 2 3.0 79 89 2p-ins;2w uppr;2d best
2026-01-30 GP 5f Turf 1 2.0 87 80 Ins;2w uppr;clear;drvg